Clips
Monday Market Monitor - China - WEEK 05 - No fireworks after holiday - 06 Feb, 2012
Chinas inventory on construction steel sees growth when the Spring Festival is over.

Most market participants deny the possibility of positively stockpile by traders which in their point of view is passively replenishment. For the steel market after the Festival, demands incur difficulty to kick off and the scene that stock is larger than delivery sets to continue.

Alarming features of 2011 on steel market frustrates people
1. The percentage of loss incurring enterprises is climbing when it is approaching to the year end;
2. No winter stock is seen for most traders;
3. Traders are reluctant to push the price higher before and after the Festival. Steel market might not sense any optimism at least in the short term.

Then how to explain the increasing inventory catches the attention. Insiders indicate that it is a passive stockpile rather than normal stock driven by market demands. Reason supporting this statement is that no obvious sign for initiation has been seen while traders get arrivals after the Festival in accordance with monthly plan.

If compared carefully, both inventory volume and increasing amount is less than those for 2011. On the one hand, this situation concludes that steel mills release capacity stays in low on the other hand, trader are generally maintain cautious and are reluctant to build inventory.

The biggest constraint factor for steel market is demands instead of supply. The sluggish transactions give no impetus to price rise. Demands recover hardly; regulation on real estate exerts pressure on steel market, hence it is difficult for steel price to hike. But when taking cost and capital into consideration, the dumping room for the price is also limited. Small ranged fluctuation will be the major move.

The Chinese Long Product Price Index CLPPI has gone up by 14 points last week whereas the Chinese Flat Products Index CFPPI remained stable. The overall price index CHISPI inclined by 6 points.
Class20-Jan03-FebChange%
CLPPI75627576140.2%
CFPPI6710671000.0%
CHISPI7079708560.1%

CLPPI - Chinese Long Product Price Index
CFPPI - Chinese Flat Product Price Index
CHISPI - Chinese Steel Price Index

Long Products
Category20-Jan03-FebChange%
PI-WRC7525752830.0%
PI-Rebar76067633270.4%

PI - Product Index

Flat Products
Category20-Jan03-FebChange%
PI-PLTS59706005350.6%
PI-HR68606851-9-0.1%
PI-CR6933693740.1%
PI-GP65566547-9-0.1%

PI - Product Index

These indices have base of 10,000 as on July 1st 2008
To know more about these indices please visit
http://steelprices-china.com/spi_services/spi.html

1. Long products

Billets
150*150
Q235
LocationCNYUSD
Shanghai00
Jiangsu00
Shandong-50-8
Fujian00
Guangdong-50-8
Henan00
Hebei-70-11
Shanxi00
Liaoning-100-16
Yunnan00

Change is on Feb 3rd as compared to 20th Jan 2012
Change is per tonne

WRC
6.5mm
High Speed
LocationCNYUSD
Shanghai102
Hangzhou-10-2
Nanjing-20-3
Wuxi-80-13
Jinan00
Hefei00
Fuzhou406
Nanchang508
Guangzhou00
Nanning-80-13
Changsha00
Wuhan-10-2
Zhengzhou00
Beijing7011
Tianjin00
Baotou00
Shijiazhuang203
Taiyuan305
Shenyang203
Changchun00
Harbin00
Chongqing-30-5
Chengdu00
Guiyang-30-5
Kunming00
Xian305
Lanzhou406
Urumchi00

Change is on Feb 3rd as compared to 20th Jan 2012
Change is per tonne

Rebars
20mm
HRB 400
LocationCNYUSD
Shanghai102
Hangzhou203
Nanjing00
Wuxi-30-5
Jinan00
Hefei00
Fuzhou00
Nanchang508
Guangzhou203
Nanning-10-2
Changsha508
Wuhan203
Zhengzhou406
Beijing609
Tianjin508
Baotou00
Shijiazhuang508
Taiyuan203
Shenyang305
Changchun00
Harbin00
Chongqing00
Chengdu00
Guiyang-50-8
Kunming00
Xian305
Lanzhou609
Urumchi00

Change is on Feb 3rd as compared to 20th Jan 2012
Change is per tonne

Angle
#5
LocationCNYUSD
Shanghai00
Hangzhou00
Nanjing00
Wuxi00
Jinan00
Hefei00
Fuzhou00
Nanchang00
Guangzhou00
Nanning00
Changsha00
Wuhan-40-6
Zhengzhou00
Beijing00
Tianjin00
Baotou00
Shijiazhuang00
Taiyuan00
Shenyang00
Changchun00
Harbin00
Chongqing00
Chengdu00
Guiyang00
Kunming00
Xian00
Lanzhou00
Urumchi00

Change is on Feb 3rd as compared to 20th Jan 2012
Change is per tonne

Channel
#16
LocationCNYUSD
Shanghai00
Hangzhou00
Nanjing00
Wuxi-30-5
Jinan00
Hefei00
Fuzhou00
Nanchang00
Guangzhou00
Nanning00
Changsha00
Wuhan-40-6
Zhengzhou00
Beijing00
Tianjin00
Baotou00
Shijiazhuang00
Taiyuan00
Shenyang00
Changchun00
Harbin00
Chongqing00
Chengdu00
Guiyang00
Kunming00
Xian00
Lanzhou00
Urumchi00

Change is on Feb 3rd as compared to 20th Jan 2012
Change is per tonne

Beam
#25
LocationCNYUSD
Shanghai00
Hangzhou00
Nanjing00
Wuxi00
Jinan00
Hefei00
Fuzhou00
Nanchang00
Guangzhou00
Nanning00
Changsha-40-6
Wuhan-40-6
Zhengzhou00
Beijing00
Tianjin00
Baotou00
Shijiazhuang00
Taiyuan00
Shenyang00
Changchun00
Harbin00
Chongqing00
Chengdu00
Guiyang00
Kunming00
Xian00
Lanzhou00
Urumchi00

Change is on Feb 3rd as compared to 20th Jan 2012
Change is per tonne

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Currency Rates
18 May, 2012
USD 1.0000
AUD 1.0164
BRL 2.0089
CAD 1.0208
CNY 6.3278
EUR 0.7889
GBP 0.6344
INR 54.7630
JPY 79.4544
RUB 31.1196
ZAR 8.3932
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